
"The Oceans and Abrupt Climate Change"
Dr. Raymond W. Schmitt
Senior Scientist
Department of Physical Oceanography
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
Recent paleoclimatic data has implicated changes in the circulation of the North Atlantic Ocean as the cause of rapid climate shifts 12,000 and 8,200 years ago. These circulation changes appear to have been cause by an influx of freshwater from melting glaciers, and to have occurred within a decade. As high latitude North Atlantic freshening is presently underway, there is growing concern, from the National Academy of Sciences, the Pentagon and even Hollywood, that an abrupt climate change could be in our future. Studies have shown that the stability of the circulation is a sensitive function of the oceanic mixing rate and the strength of freshwater forcing, both of which have been key foci of my research. A discussion of our recent theory of abrupt climate change, and the observational mysteries yet to be resolved, will be presented.